Higher fuel prices take toll on retail sales

UK retail deals posted a 1.4% ascent in February from the earlier month, yet there are signs that higher fuel costs have started to hit customers' pockets.

In the three months to February, deals volumes fell by 1.4%, a more keen slide than the 0.5% decrease for the three months to January.

That was the greatest three-month fall recorded by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) since March 2010.

Fuel costs in February were 18.7% higher than a year prior.

"February's retail deals figures indicate genuinely solid development, however the hidden three-month picture demonstrates falling deals as February's figures take after two back to back months of decrease in December and January," said ONS analyst Kate Davies.

"The basic pattern proposes that rising petrol costs specifically have negatively affected the general amount of merchandise purchased in the course of the most recent three months."

Petrol cost a normal of 120p a liter in February, with diesel 3p all the more, as indicated by ONS figures.

Notwithstanding, the 1.4% ascent in retail deals in February was higher than the 0.4% expansion expected by financial analysts.

News of the month-on-month increment sent the pound higher above $1.25.

Paul Hollingsworth at Capital Economics said the figures would give some consolation that higher swelling had not gotten development customer spending to an end.

Swelling as measured by the Consumer Prices Index hopped to 2.3% in February - up from 1.8% in January, the ONS said on Tuesday.

Next "careful"

In any case, Howard Archer at IHS Markit said customers were turning out to be more careful as higher expansion crushed their buying power.

"The economy's relentless flexibility since last June's Brexit vote has been to a great extent based on purchasers continuing spending," he said.

"With shoppers now apparently directing their spending, the since a long time ago foreseen log jam in the economy looks set to appear unless different areas can make fundamentally expanded commitments."

Design retailer Next said on Thursday it was "greatly wary" about exchanging for the coming year as it announced lower yearly benefits.

Martin Beck, senior monetary counsel to the EY ITEM Club, said yearly shop cost expansion expanded from 1.9% in January to 2.8% in February - a 60-month high.

"How the year works out will depend vigorously upon buyers' ability to draw on reserve funds or assume more obligation," he said. "A year ago's retail blast looks set to end up distinctly an undeniably ancient history."

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